Tyler Boyd Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Tyler Boyd

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Boyd

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 5:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Boyd Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 37.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 37.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cincinnati Bengals will be forced to start backup quarterback Jake Browning in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
At the present time, the 3rd-most pass-centric offense in football (67.1% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Bengals.
In this week's contest, Tyler Boyd is expected by our trusted projection set to place in the 78th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 6.8 targets.
Tyler Boyd has been one of the most sure-handed receivers in the league, completing a remarkable 71.9% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 80th percentile among WRs.
The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has given up the 7th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (182.0) versus WRs this year.

Favors Under

At the moment, the 3rd-most sluggish paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Bengals.
Tyler Boyd's 84.7% snap rate this year illustrates an impressive boost in his offensive utilization over last year's 63.1% mark.
As it relates to pocket protection (and the significance it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Cincinnati Bengals ranks as the 7th-worst in football this year.
Tyler Boyd's pass-catching efficiency has tailed off this year, compiling a measly 6.60 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 9.66 mark last year.
This year, the strong Pittsburgh Steelers defense has surrendered a mere 63.2% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 9th-best rate in football.

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