Tyler Boyd Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Tyler Boyd

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Boyd

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Carolina Panthers · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 6, 2022 9:01 PM EST

Analysis

Tyler Boyd Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 55.5 (-101/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 63.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 55.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 8th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 61.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 62.2 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game versus the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 10th-most in the league.
THE BLITZ projects Tyler Boyd to accrue 7.8 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 82nd percentile among wideouts.
THE BLITZ projects Tyler Boyd to be a more integral piece of his team's pass game this week (21.7% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (14.7% in games he has played).

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-least plays run out of all the games this week at 125.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Carolina Panthers pass defense has shown strong efficiency vs. wideouts this year, conceding 7.65 yards-per-target to the position: the 7th-least in football.
The Carolina Panthers pass defense has excelled when opposing WRs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 4.21 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-least in the league.
The Cincinnati Bengals O-line has allowed their QB a mere 2.49 seconds before the pass (3rd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.

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