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Tyler Boyd

Tyler Boyd Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 7

Cincinnati Bengals vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Tyler Boyd Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+225/-350).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -347 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -350.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 42.3 pass attempts per game versus the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.
  • THE BLITZ projects Tyler Boyd to be much more involved in his team's passing offense near the end zone this week (11.1% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (2.7% in games he has played).
  • Tyler Boyd has been among the most sure-handed receivers in football, hauling in a stellar 75.7% of passes thrown his way this year, ranking in the 81st percentile among WRs.
  • Tyler Boyd grades out in the 83rd percentile among wideouts as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging an impressive 0.33 per game.
  • The Atlanta Falcons defense has surrendered the 4th-most passing TDs in football to WRs: 1.33 per game this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bengals are a 6.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals offense as the 4th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.60 seconds per play.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals O-line ranks as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
  • The Atlanta Falcons safeties grade out as the 8th-best safety corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line has allowed their QB a measly 2.49 seconds before the pass (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass game stats across the board.

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