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Tyler Boyd

Tyler Boyd Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 6

New Orleans Saints vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Tyler Boyd Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+267/-447).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -388 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -447.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Tyler Boyd to be much more involved in his team's passing attack near the end zone this week (12.9% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (6.2% in games he has played).
  • Tyler Boyd has put up significantly more air yards this season (47.0 per game) than he did last season (42.0 per game).
  • Tyler Boyd ranks in the 86th percentile among WRs as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging a terrific 0.40 per game.
  • The New Orleans Saints pass defense has allowed the 10th-highest Completion% in football (67.8%) to WRs this year (67.8%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bengals are a 3-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals offense as the 7th-worst paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 29.51 seconds per play.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 34.0 pass attempts per game versus the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 10th-least in the NFL.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line grades out as the 9th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
  • Tyler Boyd's sure-handedness have diminished this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 74.5% to 69.3%.

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