Tyler Boyd Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+240/-350).
Key Factors
Favors Over
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing teams have averaged 36.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the league.
Favors Under
The Bengals are a huge 7.5-point favorite in this game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-slowest pace on the slate this week, averaging 27.26 seconds per play given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has given up the lowest Completion% in the NFL (57.9%) versus wide receivers since the start of last season (57.9%).
The Dallas Cowboys safeties grade out as the 8th-best collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.