Tyler Boyd Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Tyler Boyd

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Boyd

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving TD

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Boyd Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+260/-430).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +307 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +260.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Bengals to run the 3rd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 68.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Tyler Boyd has notched far more air yards this season (52.0 per game) than he did last season (38.0 per game).
Tyler Boyd grades out in the 75th percentile among wide receivers when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a stellar 0.31 per game.

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
Opposing offenses have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 10th-least in the league.
Tyler Boyd's receiving reliability have diminished this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 76.7% to 70.8%.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has given up the 8th-lowest Completion% in the league (64.2%) versus wideouts this year (64.2%).
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has allowed the 7th-least passing TDs in the league to wideouts: 0.77 per game this year.

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