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Tyler Boyd

Tyler Boyd Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 14

Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns

Tyler Boyd Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+218/-336).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -328 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -336.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 60.0 plays per game.

Tyler Boyd has notched significantly more air yards this season (54.0 per game) than he did last season (38.0 per game).

Tyler Boyd ranks in the 82nd percentile among WRs when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging a terrific 0.33 per game.

The Cleveland Browns defense has allowed the 6th-most TDs through the air in the NFL to WRs: 1.00 per game this year.

The Cleveland Browns safeties grade out as the 6th-worst unit in the league this year in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bengals are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Bengals to call the 9th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.7 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Opposing QBs have averaged 32.9 pass attempts per game versus the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 3rd-least in the league.

Tyler Boyd's sure-handedness have diminished this year, with his Completion% falling off from 76.7% to 72.1%.

The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line has given their QB just 2.49 seconds before the pass (4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing game stats across the board.

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