Tyler Allgeier Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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NFL · Player Props

Tyler Allgeier

RB · Arizona Cardinals

Touchdowns

Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 6, 2026

Updated Oct 18, 2026 8:27 PM EST

Analysis

Tyler Allgeier Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+153/-160).

Key Factors

Favors Over

At a -12.5-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are massive underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.
Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to pass on 66.8% of their downs: the highest frequency among all teams this week.
Our trusted projections expect the Cardinals to be the 8th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 59.3% red zone pass rate.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the predictive model to have 130.3 offensive plays called: the 5th-most on the slate this week.
The 3rd-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Cardinals this year (a staggering 62.4 per game on average).

Favors Under

Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to rely on the passing game too much against the Rams, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 31.6 per game) this year.
Our trusted projections expect Tyler Allgeier to be a much bigger part of his offense's ground game near the goal line in this week's contest (60.3% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (31.8% in games he has played).
When it comes to air yards, Tyler Allgeier grades out in just the 14th percentile among running backs this year, averaging just -5.0 per game.
Tyler Allgeier ranks in the 1st percentile among RBs as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a lowly 0.00 per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 2nd-lowest rate in the league versus the Los Angeles Rams defense this year (63.2% Adjusted Completion%).