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Tyler Allgeier

Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Atlanta Falcons vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 37.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 38.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A rushing game script is suggested by the Falcons being a 3-point favorite in this game.
  • The model projects this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 135.1 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • Tyler Allgeier's 5.7 adjusted yards per carry this season signifies a noteable improvement in his rushing ability over last season's 3.6 rate.
  • With an outstanding record of 3.90 yards after contact (93rd percentile), Tyler Allgeier places among the unyielding running backs in football this year.
  • This year, the formidable Seattle Seahawks run defense has given up a meager 5.43 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's running game: the 31st-best rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Falcons to be the 7th-least run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 39.1% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.

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