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Tyler Allgeier

Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's spread suggests a running game script for the Falcons, who are favored by 3 points.

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Falcons are projected by the projection model to run 64.2 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-most on the slate this week.

Tyler Allgeier's rushing efficiency has improved this season, compiling 5.87 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to just 3.62 mark last season.

Tyler Allgeier has made strides in generating extra ground yardage this year, accumulating 4.22 yards-after-contact compared to a 2.95 rate last year.

This year, the strong Buccaneers run defense has allowed a feeble 5.50 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing rushing attacks: the 32nd-best rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Atlanta Falcons have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 50.2 plays per game.

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.

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