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Tyler Allgeier

Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Atlanta Falcons vs Kansas City Chiefs

Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to have 131.9 offensive plays run: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.

The Chiefs defense has produced the 8th-worst efficiency against opposing ground games since the start of last season, surrendering 4.61 adjusted yards-per-carry.

As it relates to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Kansas City's collection of LBs has been atrocious since the start of last season, profiling as the 6th-worst in football. in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A passing game script is implied by the Falcons being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.

The predictive model expects the Falcons as the 7th-least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 39.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.

The model projects Tyler Allgeier to be a less important option in his team's run game in this week's game (24.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (35.4% in games he has played).

More Tyler Allgeier Player Props

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