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Tyler Allgeier

Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Philadelphia Eagles vs Atlanta Falcons

Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 137.2 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

The Atlanta Falcons have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to mean lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing attack performance when facing windier weather in this game.

The Philadelphia Eagles defensive ends project as the worst DE corps in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Falcons are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of a focus on passing than their standard approach.

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Falcons to run on 40.3% of their chances: the lowest clip among all teams this week.

While Tyler Allgeier has received 35.5% of his offense's carries in games he has played since the start of last season, the model projects him to be a much smaller piece of Atlanta's rushing attack in this game at 19.5%.

The opposing side have rushed for the 7th-fewest adjusted yards in the league (just 101.0 per game) versus the Philadelphia Eagles defense last year.

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