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Tyler Allgeier
NFL · Player Props
Tyler Allgeier
RB · Atlanta Falcons
Rushing Yards
Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers · Week 1, 2023 Updated Sep 11, 2023 12:01 AM EST
NFL Props Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards

Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 33.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ -115.

Favors Over
  • The Falcons are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 3rd-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 47.8% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Atlanta Falcons offensive line profiles as the 2nd-best in the league since the start of last season in run blocking.
  • Tyler Allgeier has grinded out 65.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the highest marks in the league among RBs (89th percentile).
  • Tyler Allgeier's running effectiveness (4.95 yards per carry) has been some of the best in football since the start of last season (86th percentile among running backs).
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-least plays run among all games this week at 126.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have called the 8th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a measly 55.1 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Tyler Allgeier to be much less involved in his team's running game this week (26.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (40.3% in games he has played).
  • The Carolina Panthers linebackers grade out as the best unit in the league since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.
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