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Tyler Allgeier

Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Atlanta Falcons vs Chicago Bears

Tyler Allgeier Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 34.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 34.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 3rd-most run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 51.8% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The Atlanta Falcons O-line ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year in run blocking.

Opposing squads have rushed for the 4th-most yards in the NFL (146 per game) vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year.

The Chicago Bears defensive ends grade out as the 3rd-worst collection of DEs in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.

The Atlanta Falcons have incorporated some form of misdirection on 53.2% of their plays since the start of last season (7th-most in the league), which can keep the defense guessing and improve offensive efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Falcons to run the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Atlanta Falcons have run the 2nd-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.6 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The Atlanta Falcons have been faced with a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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