Tyler Allgeier Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 6

My Account Log Out

reorder

Tyler Allgeier

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Allgeier

RB · Atlanta Falcons

Rushing TD

Atlanta Falcons vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Allgeier Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+240/-340).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 5th-most run-oriented team in the league near the end zone (in a neutral context) right now with a 47.5% red zone run rate.
THE BLITZ projects Tyler Allgeier to be a more important option in his team's run game near the goal line this week (33.9% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (20.0% in games he has played).
The Atlanta Falcons O-line grades out as the 7th-best in the NFL this year at run-game blocking.
The Atlanta Falcons have utilized some form of misdirection on 53.2% of their plays since the start of last season (7th-most in football), which usually makes an offense more unpredictable and more effective.

Favors Under

The Falcons are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Falcons to call the 4th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have run the 4th-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 54.2 plays per game.
Tyler Allgeier has run for 0.00 touchdowns per game on the ground this year, one of the lowest marks in the league among running backs (1st percentile).
Opposing squads have run for the 7th-least touchdowns in the league (0.60 per game) against the San Francisco 49ers defense this year.

More Tyler Allgeier Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow