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Tyler Allgeier

Tyler Allgeier Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 6

Atlanta Falcons vs San Francisco 49ers

Tyler Allgeier Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+240/-340).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 5th-most run-oriented team in the league near the end zone (in a neutral context) right now with a 47.5% red zone run rate.

THE BLITZ projects Tyler Allgeier to be a more important option in his team's run game near the goal line this week (33.9% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (20.0% in games he has played).

The Atlanta Falcons O-line grades out as the 7th-best in the NFL this year at run-game blocking.

The Atlanta Falcons have utilized some form of misdirection on 53.2% of their plays since the start of last season (7th-most in football), which usually makes an offense more unpredictable and more effective.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Falcons are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Falcons to call the 4th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Atlanta Falcons have run the 4th-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 54.2 plays per game.

Tyler Allgeier has run for 0.00 touchdowns per game on the ground this year, one of the lowest marks in the league among running backs (1st percentile).

Opposing squads have run for the 7th-least touchdowns in the league (0.60 per game) against the San Francisco 49ers defense this year.

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