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Tyler Allgeier
NFL · Player Props
Tyler Allgeier
RB · Atlanta Falcons
Rushing TD
Seattle Seahawks vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 3, 2022 Updated Sep 25, 2022 7:30 PM UTC
NFL Props Tyler Allgeier Rushing TD

Tyler Allgeier Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+297/-533).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +345 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +297.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 9th-most run-heavy offense in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 44.3% red zone run rate.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have utilized some form of misdirection on 53.2% of their plays since the start of last season (7th-most in football), which can make an offense more unpredictable and more effective.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-least plays run on the slate this week at 118.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have run the 2nd-least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 59.0 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Tyler Allgeier to be much less involved in his offense's running game near the goal line this week (23.5% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (39.8% in games he has played).
  • The Seattle Seahawks defensive tackles project as the best unit in football since the start of last season with their run defense.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have faced a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
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