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Tyler Allgeier

Tyler Allgeier Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Tyler Allgeier Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+135/-170).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +145 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 132.4 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • Tyler Allgeier's 100.0% Adjusted Catch Rate this season represents an impressive boost in his receiving ability over last season's 79.8% figure.
  • When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Carolina's safety corps has been atrocious this year, grading out as the 6th-worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3.5-point advantage, the Falcons are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a focus on running than their typical game plan.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the Carolina Panthers, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 30.4 per game) this year.
  • With an impressive 21.7% snap rate (23rd percentile) this year, Tyler Allgeier stands among the running backs with the biggest workloads in the NFL.
  • When it comes to pass protection (and the impact it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Atlanta Falcons profiles as the 9th-worst in the league this year.
  • Since the start of last season, the daunting Carolina Panthers defense has conceded a feeble 78.4% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the 5th-lowest rate in the NFL.

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