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Tyler Allgeier

Tyler Allgeier Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Tyler Allgeier Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-244/+172).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -199 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -244.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Falcons are projected by the projection model to run 64.2 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-most on the slate this week.

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.2 pass attempts per game versus the Buccaneers defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.

The Buccaneers pass defense has yielded the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (91%) to running backs this year (91.0%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread suggests a running game script for the Falcons, who are favored by 3 points.

The Atlanta Falcons have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 50.2 plays per game.

When it comes to pass-blocking (and the importance it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Falcons ranks as the 5th-worst in football this year.

With a mere 0.8 adjusted receptions per game (20th percentile) this year, Tyler Allgeier rates as one of the weakest pass-catching running backs in football.

When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Tampa Bay's safety corps has been great this year, profiling as the 9th-best in football.

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