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Tyler Allgeier

Tyler Allgeier Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons

Tyler Allgeier Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-198/+148).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Falcons are a giant 10-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 132.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing QBs have averaged 41.2 pass attempts per game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 3rd-most in football.

THE BLITZ projects Tyler Allgeier to be a much bigger part of his offense's air attack this week (8.8% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (3.3% in games he has played).

The Atlanta Falcons have faced a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 4th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The Atlanta Falcons have run the 5th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 53.2 plays per game.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties profile as the 3rd-best unit in football this year in pass coverage.

The Atlanta Falcons O-line has given their quarterback a mere 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (8th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.

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