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Tyler Allgeier

Tyler Allgeier Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Atlanta Falcons vs Seattle Seahawks

Tyler Allgeier Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Falcons to pass on 60.9% of their chances: the 7th-greatest clip among all teams this week.

The model projects this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 135.1 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.

Tyler Allgeier's 100.0% Adjusted Catch% this year reflects a material progression in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 79.8% figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is suggested by the Falcons being a 3-point favorite in this game.

The Atlanta Falcons offensive line grades out as the 7th-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

Tyler Allgeier's 6.71 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season illustrates a significant decrease in his effectiveness in picking up extra yardage over last season's 10.8% mark.

This year, the formidable Seattle Seahawks defense has conceded a puny 78.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 6th-best rate in football.

The Seahawks pass defense has displayed good efficiency vs. RBs this year, yielding 5.70 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-fewest in football.

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