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Tyler Allgeier

Tyler Allgeier Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Tyler Allgeier Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Falcons are projected by the projection model to run 64.2 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-most on the slate this week.

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.2 pass attempts per game versus the Buccaneers defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.

Tyler Allgeier rates as one of the top RBs in the league at picking up extra yardage in the passing game, averaging a stellar 10.81 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 89th percentile.

The Buccaneers defense has given up the most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (67.0) to RBs this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread suggests a running game script for the Falcons, who are favored by 3 points.

The Atlanta Falcons have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 50.2 plays per game.

When it comes to pass-blocking (and the importance it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Falcons ranks as the 5th-worst in football this year.

When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Tampa Bay's safety corps has been great this year, profiling as the 9th-best in football.

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