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Tyler Allgeier

Tyler Allgeier Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Atlanta Falcons vs Kansas City Chiefs

Tyler Allgeier Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is implied by the Falcons being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Atlanta Falcons to pass on 60.6% of their downs: the 7th-greatest clip among all teams this week.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to have 131.9 offensive plays run: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.

Tyler Allgeier has garnered a monstrous 1.6% of his team's air yards this year: 89th percentile among RBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing teams teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Kansas City Chiefs, averaging the 7th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 31.6 per game) since the start of last season.

Since the start of last season, the formidable Chiefs defense has surrendered a mere 26.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing running backs: the 5th-fewest in football.

When it comes to defensive tackles getting after the quarterback, Kansas City's collection of DTs has been exceptional since the start of last season, projecting as the 3rd-best in the league.

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