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Tyler Allgeier

Tyler Allgeier Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Atlanta Falcons vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Tyler Allgeier Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At only 26.79 seconds per play, the Atlanta Falcons offense is positioned as the 3rd-fastest paced in football (in a neutral context) last year.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Atlanta Falcons ranks as the 4th-best in football last year.

Tyler Allgeier comes in as one of the leading RBs in the league at generating extra yardage in the passing game, averaging an excellent 10.22 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year while grading out in the 79th percentile.

The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has been particularly weak when opposing RBs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 8.91 yards-after-the-catch last year: the 6th-most in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing offenses have averaged 32.5 pass attempts per game against the Steelers defense last year: 9th-fewest in the NFL.

The Steelers pass defense has allowed the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (74.8%) vs. running backs last year (74.8%).

The Steelers linebackers project as the 9th-best unit in football last year in defending receivers.

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