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Tyler Allgeier

Tyler Allgeier Carries
Player Prop Week 7

Atlanta Falcons vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Tyler Allgeier Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A rushing game script is suggested by the Falcons being a 3-point favorite in this game.
  • The model projects this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 135.1 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Seattle Seahawks safeties grade out as the 30th-worst collection of safeties in the NFL this year with their run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Falcons to be the 7th-least run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 39.1% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.

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