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Tyler Allgeier

Tyler Allgeier Carries
Player Prop Week 4

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints

Tyler Allgeier Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 4-point advantage, the Falcons are favored in this game, implying more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical approach.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Atlanta Falcons to run on 44.3% of their chances: the 10th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.

The model projects the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 27.23 seconds per play.

As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, New Orleans's collection of DTs has been awful since the start of last season, profiling as the 4th-worst in football. in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.

Tyler Allgeier has been much less involved in his team's run game this season (26.4% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (36.5%).

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