Tyler Allgeier Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Tyler Allgeier

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Allgeier

RB · Atlanta Falcons

Carries

Atlanta Falcons vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 6, 2023 3:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Allgeier Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week's spread indicates a rushing game script for the Falcons, who are favored by 3.5 points.
The leading projections forecast the Falcons as the 4th-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 46.6% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 131.2 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The Falcons have run the 7th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 62.0 plays per game.
Tyler Allgeier has received 43.6% of his team's run game usage this year, putting him in the 81st percentile when it comes to RBs.

Favors Under

The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.
The Vikings defensive tackles project as the 4th-best collection of DTs in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

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