Tyler Allgeier Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Tyler Allgeier

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Allgeier

RB · Atlanta Falcons

Carries

New York Jets vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 4, 2023 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Allgeier Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Falcons to run on 50.2% of their chances: the greatest frequency on the slate this week.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Falcons are anticipated by our trusted projection set to run 66.6 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-most among all teams this week.
The Falcons have called the 6th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 61.5 plays per game.
Tyler Allgeier's 30.5% Snap% this season represents a meaningful diminishment in his offensive volume over last season's 51.1% rate.
When talking about opening holes for runners (and the significance it has on all ground game metrics), the O-line of the Atlanta Falcons profiles as the 2nd-best in the league last year.

Favors Under

The New York Jets linebackers rank as the 7th-best collection of LBs in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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