Tylan Wallace Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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NFL · Player Props

Tylan Wallace

WR · Cleveland Browns

Touchdowns

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 4, 2026

Updated Oct 1, 2026 5:03 AM EST

Analysis

Tylan Wallace Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+2226/-14186).

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 60.9% rate of passing the ball near the end zone (in a neutral context) this year, the 9th-most pass-heavy offense in the league in these cases has been the Browns.
Opposing QBs have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in football.
Since the start of last season, the anemic Pittsburgh Steelers defense has been torched for a staggering 72.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 9th-biggest rate in the league.
Since the start of last season, the daunting Steelers run defense has yielded a meager 0.55 TDs on the ground per game to the opposing side: the 3rd-best rate in the NFL.
The Pittsburgh Steelers linebackers grade out as the best group of LBs in the league since the start of last season with their run defense.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Browns as the 8th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 54.7% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Tylan Wallace has been has not been looked to very often his team's pass game near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of just 0.0% this year, which ranks him in the 1st percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
When it comes to air yards, Tylan Wallace grades out in just the 13th percentile among wide receivers since the start of last season, with just 7.0 per game.
Tylan Wallace ranks in just the 9th percentile for wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive usage) with an unimpressive 5.5 mark since the start of last season.
When it comes to pocket protection (and the significance it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Browns ranks as the 6th-worst in football since the start of last season.