Tyjae Spears Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Tyjae Spears

NFL · Player Props

Tyjae Spears

RB · Tennessee Titans

Touchdowns

Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans · Week 6, 2026

Updated Oct 18, 2026 3:47 PM EST

Analysis

Tyjae Spears Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+545/-614).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Titans are a huge 7-point underdog in this game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
Our trusted projections expect Tyjae Spears to be much more involved in his offense's pass attack near the end zone in this week's game (11.2% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).
Tyjae Spears's 14.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the league leaders: 78th percentile for RBs.
The Titans O-line profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
The rushing TD field reads "0" on Tyjae Spears's player page this year.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Tennessee Titans to be the 7th-least pass-centric team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 58.5% pass rate.
The predictive model expects the Titans to run the 4th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have called the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 52.4 plays per game.
When it comes to air yards, Tyjae Spears grades out in just the 10th percentile among RBs this year, with just -8.0 per game.
Tyjae Spears's ball-catching skills have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 91.0% to 87.8%.

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