Tyjae Spears Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Tyjae Spears

NFL · Player Props

Tyjae Spears

RB · Tennessee Titans

Rushing Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans · Week 5, 2026

Updated Oct 11, 2026 3:42 PM EST

Analysis

Tyjae Spears Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+108/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ 0 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the moment, the 7th-most run-heavy team in the NFL (41.7% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Titans.
The projections expect the Titans to call the 7th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.0 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

Favors Under

This week's line indicates an extreme passing game script for the Titans, who are big -7-point underdogs.
The Tennessee Titans have run the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 51.5 plays per game.
The Houston Texans defense has had the 2nd-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks since the start of last season, allowing just 3.66 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).
The Houston defensive ends grade out as the best DE corps in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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