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Tyjae Spears

Tyjae Spears Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans

Tyjae Spears Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Tennessee Titans as the 6th-most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 45.0% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

With a fantastic record of 5.40 adjusted yards per carry (88th percentile), Tyjae Spears has been among the leading RBs in the NFL this year.

Tyjae Spears has been among the leading running backs in the league at generating extra ground yardage, averaging an impressive 5.15 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 96th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Tennessee Titans will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Tim Kelly, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to lean 3.4% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).

The predictive model expects the Titans offense to be the 3rd-worst paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 29.90 seconds per snap.

The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.

The Indianapolis Colts defense has produced the 7th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, yielding just 3.81 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

Colts defensive ends project as the 5th-best unit in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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