Tyjae Spears Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Tyjae Spears

NFL · Player Props

Tyjae Spears

RB · Tennessee Titans

Receptions

Tennessee Titans vs Cleveland Browns · Week 7, 2026

Updated Oct 21, 2026 7:48 PM EST

Analysis

Tyjae Spears Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+135/-170).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -165 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -170.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Browns defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 8th-most passes in the NFL (38.0 per game) this year.
In this contest, Tyjae Spears is predicted by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 76th percentile when it comes to RBs with 2.9 targets.
Tyjae Spears has been an integral part of his team's pass game, earning a Target Share of 10.8% this year, which ranks in the 83rd percentile among RBs.
The Tennessee offensive line profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong influence on all passing offense stats across the board.
With an exceptional 2.5 adjusted receptions per game (78th percentile) this year, Tyjae Spears rates as one of the top running backs in the pass game in the NFL.

Favors Under

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Tennessee Titans to pass on 54.9% of their plays: the 5th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
Our trusted projections expect the Titans to run the 9th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have run the fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 50.7 plays per game.
This year, the tough Cleveland Browns defense has surrendered a meager 77.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 8th-lowest rate in football.
As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Cleveland's collection of LBs has been very good this year, projecting as the 5th-best in the NFL.

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