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Tyjae Spears

Tyjae Spears Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts

Tyjae Spears Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to have 127.8 total plays called: the 5th-highest number out of all the games this week.

The predictive model expects Tyjae Spears to garner 3.3 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 78th percentile when it comes to running backs.

With an impressive 3.0 adjusted catches per game (83rd percentile) this year, Tyjae Spears stands as one of the top pass-game running backs in football.

Tyjae Spears's receiving reliability have improved this year, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 79.3% to 100.0%.

The Indianapolis Colts defensive ends project as the 6th-worst unit in the NFL this year with their pass rush.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Titans rank as the 8th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 57.0% pass rate.

The Tennessee Titans have run the 9th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 54.5 plays per game.

Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being predicted in this game) typically cause lessened passing efficiency, reduced air attack volume, and higher ground volume.

Tyjae Spears's 15.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 22.1.

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