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Tyjae Spears

Tyjae Spears Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Miami Dolphins vs Tennessee Titans

Tyjae Spears Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+150/-185).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is implied by the Titans being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.

The model projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 62.5% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

This week, Tyjae Spears is projected by the projection model to rank in the 84th percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.5 targets.

Tyjae Spears has been a key part of his team's offense, posting a Target Share of 14.2% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 95th percentile among running backs.

Tyjae Spears has been one of the best RBs in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging a remarkable 3.2 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 91st percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Titans to call the fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.3 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Titans since the start of last season (a mere 54.3 per game on average).

Opposing teams have averaged 32.0 pass attempts per game against the Dolphins defense since the start of last season: fewest in the league.

The Tennessee offensive line ranks as the worst in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

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