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Tyjae Spears

Tyjae Spears Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Tennessee Titans vs Green Bay Packers

Tyjae Spears Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-138/+106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +134 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is implied by the Titans being a -3.5-point underdog this week.

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Tennessee Titans to pass on 60.1% of their downs: the 9th-highest frequency on the slate this week.

This week, Tyjae Spears is anticipated by the model to position himself in the 82nd percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.2 targets.

Tyjae Spears has been heavily involved in his team's offense, garnering a Target Share of 14.4% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 94th percentile among RBs.

With an excellent 3.0 adjusted receptions per game (91st percentile) since the start of last season, Tyjae Spears stands as one of the top RBs in the pass game in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Titans to run the fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The fewest plays in the league have been called by the Tennessee Titans since the start of last season (a measly 54.6 per game on average).

Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to pass too much against the Green Bay Packers, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (just 32.2 per game) since the start of last season.

The Tennessee Titans offensive line ranks as the 9th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all pass attack stats across the board.

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