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Tyjae Spears

Tyjae Spears Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Tennessee Titans vs Cincinnati Bengals

Tyjae Spears Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +121 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -6-point disadvantage, the Titans are underdogs in this week's contest, indicating more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan.

Opposing QBs have averaged 35.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL.

In this contest, Tyjae Spears is projected by the model to finish in the 81st percentile among RBs with 3.4 targets.

Tyjae Spears's 89.9% Adjusted Catch% this year indicates a significant improvement in his receiving proficiency over last year's 79.3% mark.

This year, the porous Bengals pass defense has conceded a colossal 90.4% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the 3rd-biggest rate in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the moment, the 10th-least pass-heavy team in the league (58.9% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Tennessee Titans.

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Titans are predicted by the model to call just 63.4 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.

The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

Tyjae Spears has been a less important option in his offense's air attack this season (8.3% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (14.8%).

When talking about pass protection (and the impact it has on all pass attack stats), the offensive line of the Tennessee Titans grades out as the 6th-worst in football this year.

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