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Tyjae Spears

Tyjae Spears Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Tyjae Spears Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-112/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 36.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 7th-most in the league.
  • Tyjae Spears's ball-catching skills have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate increasing from 79.3% to 94.4%.
  • This year, the weak Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has given up a colossal 86.9% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the 8th-highest rate in the NFL.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars safeties rank as the worst unit in football this year in defending receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Titans are favored this week, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their typical game plan.
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Tennessee Titans to pass on 53.1% of their chances: the 4th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The predictive model expects the Titans to call the 3rd-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.2 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The Titans have called the 10th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 56.3 plays per game.
  • Tyjae Spears's 12.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive volume) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 22.1.

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