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Tyjae Spears

Tyjae Spears Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Washington Commanders vs Tennessee Titans

Tyjae Spears Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+135/-170).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -155 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Titans are a 6-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.

Tyjae Spears's receiving reliability have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 79.3% to 94.5%.

This year, the poor Commanders pass defense has surrendered a monstrous 88.9% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing running backs: the 3rd-worst rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 10th-least pass-focused team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 58.7% pass rate.

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are forecasted by the predictive model to run only 64.0 total plays in this contest: the 11th-fewest on the slate this week.

Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to rely on the passing game too much against the Commanders, totaling the fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 29.5 per game) this year.

Tyjae Spears's 14.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive usage) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 22.1.

When talking about pocket protection (and the importance it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Titans grades out as the 4th-worst in the league this year.

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