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Tyjae Spears

Tyjae Spears Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Tennessee Titans vs Minnesota Vikings

Tyjae Spears Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+155/-205).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -182 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -205.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread implies a throwing game script for the Titans, who are -6-point underdogs.

The Vikings defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (38.0 per game) this year.

In this contest, Tyjae Spears is forecasted by our trusted projection set to rank in the 78th percentile among running backs with 3.3 targets.

Tyjae Spears is positioned as one of the best pass-game RBs this year, averaging a fantastic 2.5 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 75th percentile.

Tyjae Spears's 100.0% Adjusted Catch Rate this year conveys a material progression in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 79.3% mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 55.5% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 5th-least pass-centric offense in the league has been the Titans.

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are expected by the projection model to call only 62.6 total plays in this game: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.

Tyjae Spears's 13.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 22.1.

This year, the tough Minnesota Vikings defense has surrendered a mere 80.5% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the 8th-lowest rate in the NFL.

When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Minnesota's collection of LBs has been one of the most skilled this year, profiling as the 8th-best in the NFL.

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