Tyjae Spears Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 9

My Account Log Out

reorder

Tyjae Spears

NFL · Player Props

Tyjae Spears

RB · Tennessee Titans

Receptions

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tennessee Titans · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 3, 2023 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Tyjae Spears Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Tennessee Titans offensive approach to skew 1.1% more towards the passing game than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Tim Kelly now calling the plays.
A passing game script is implied by the Titans being a -3-point underdog in this game.
Our trusted projections expect Tyjae Spears to notch 3.7 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 83rd percentile among running backs.
Tyjae Spears's 20.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive usage) ranks among the league leaders: 95th percentile for running backs.
Tyjae Spears rates as one of the leading pass-catching RBs this year, averaging a stellar 2.6 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 83rd percentile.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Titans to pass on 50.8% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest rate on the slate this week.
At the present time, the 5th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Titans.
With a feeble 75.9% Adjusted Completion Rate (24th percentile) this year, Tyjae Spears has been as one of the most hard-handed receivers in the league when it comes to RBs.
This year, the imposing Pittsburgh Steelers defense has conceded a puny 62.3% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the lowest rate in football.

More Tyjae Spears Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow