My Account Log Out
 
 
Tyjae Spears

Tyjae Spears Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Tyjae Spears Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Tennessee Titans offensive approach to skew 1.1% more towards the passing game than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Tim Kelly now calling the plays.
  • A passing game script is implied by the Titans being a -3-point underdog in this game.
  • Our trusted projections expect Tyjae Spears to notch 3.7 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 83rd percentile among running backs.
  • Tyjae Spears's 20.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive usage) ranks among the league leaders: 95th percentile for running backs.
  • Tyjae Spears rates as one of the leading pass-catching RBs this year, averaging a stellar 2.6 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 83rd percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Titans to pass on 50.8% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • At the present time, the 5th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Titans.
  • With a feeble 75.9% Adjusted Completion Rate (24th percentile) this year, Tyjae Spears has been as one of the most hard-handed receivers in the league when it comes to RBs.
  • This year, the imposing Pittsburgh Steelers defense has conceded a puny 62.3% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the lowest rate in football.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™