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Tyjae Spears

Tyjae Spears Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Tennessee Titans vs Atlanta Falcons

Tyjae Spears Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+140/-170).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +145 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Titans boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Tim Kelly, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to skew 1.9% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).

In this contest, Tyjae Spears is projected by the predictive model to find himself in the 78th percentile among running backs with 3.5 targets.

With an elite 13.0% Target% (93rd percentile) this year, Tyjae Spears rates as one of the pass-game running backs with the biggest workloads in the league.

With an exceptional 2.5 adjusted catches per game (79th percentile) this year, Tyjae Spears ranks among the leading pass-game running backs in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Titans to be the 3rd-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 52.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The model projects the Titans to call the 3rd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.9 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The 3rd-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Titans this year (just 52.0 per game on average).

The Titans offensive line grades out as the 9th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative influence on all air attack metrics across the board.

This year, the strong Falcons defense has surrendered a meager 75.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing running backs: the 5th-smallest rate in football.

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