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Tyjae Spears

Tyjae Spears Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Miami Dolphins vs Tennessee Titans

Tyjae Spears Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Titans offensive strategy to lean 2.5% more towards the passing game than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Tim Kelly now calling the plays.

The Titans are a heavy 13.5-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

In this contest, Tyjae Spears is predicted by the model to rank in the 84th percentile when it comes to RBs with 4.3 targets.

With an exceptional 13.6% Target% (93rd percentile) this year, Tyjae Spears ranks among the RB receiving threats with the most usage in football.

With a terrific 2.8 adjusted catches per game (83rd percentile) this year, Tyjae Spears rates as one of the leading RBs in the pass game in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Tennessee Titans to be the least pass-heavy offense in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 56.1% pass rate.

The leading projections forecast the Titans to call the fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Tennessee Titans have run the fewest plays in football this year, totaling a mere 53.9 plays per game.

The Tennessee O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all passing offense statistics across the board.

The Miami Dolphins safeties rank as the 2nd-best unit in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

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