Tyjae Spears Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Tyjae Spears

NFL · Player Props

Tyjae Spears

RB · Tennessee Titans

Receiving Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans · Week 6, 2026

Updated Oct 18, 2026 3:47 PM EST

Analysis

Tyjae Spears Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-113/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Titans are a huge 7-point underdog in this game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
In this contest, Tyjae Spears is forecasted by the model to secure a spot in the 86th percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.6 targets.
With an exceptional 11.4% Target% (85th percentile) this year, Tyjae Spears has been as one of the pass-catching RBs with the most usage in the NFL.
The Titans O-line profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
Tyjae Spears's ability to grind out extra yardage has gotten better this year, accumulating 7.36 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a mere 0.00 figure last year.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Tennessee Titans to be the 7th-least pass-centric team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 58.5% pass rate.
The predictive model expects the Titans to run the 4th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have called the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 52.4 plays per game.
When it comes to air yards, Tyjae Spears grades out in just the 10th percentile among RBs this year, with just -8.0 per game.
Tyjae Spears's 13.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season reflects a remarkable drop-off in his pass-catching skills over last season's 18.0 figure.

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