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Tyjae Spears

Tyjae Spears Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Tennessee Titans vs New York Jets

Tyjae Spears Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -4-point disadvantage, the Titans are underdogs in this game, suggesting more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan.

The model projects the Titans as the 5th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 61.9% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

This week, Tyjae Spears is predicted by the projections to rank in the 93rd percentile among running backs with 4.5 targets.

Tyjae Spears has been an integral part of his team's pass game, posting a Target Share of 14.8% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 95th percentile when it comes to running backs.

With an exceptional 21.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (85th percentile) since the start of last season, Tyjae Spears rates as one of the leading pass-game running backs in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see just 126.4 total plays run: the 3rd-lowest number out of all the games this week.

The Tennessee Titans have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a measly 54.6 plays per game.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Jets, averaging the 4th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 30.7 per game) last year.

When it comes to pocket protection (and the influence it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Tennessee Titans profiles as the 7th-worst in football since the start of last season.

The New York Jets pass defense has surrendered the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (76.8%) vs. running backs last year (76.8%).

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