Tyjae Spears Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Tyjae Spears

NFL · Player Props

Tyjae Spears

RB · Tennessee Titans

Carries

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tennessee Titans · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 2, 2023 11:46 PM UTC

Analysis

Tyjae Spears Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Titans as the 3rd-most run-focused team among all teams this week with a 49.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
When it comes to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Pittsburgh's collection of DEs has been awful this year, grading out as the 8th-worst in the league. in the league.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the Tennessee Titans offensive approach to skew 1.1% more towards the passing game than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Tim Kelly now calling the plays.
A passing game script is implied by the Titans being a -3-point underdog in this game.
At the present time, the 5th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Titans.

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