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Ty Montgomery

Ty Montgomery Carries
Player Prop Week 1

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Ty Montgomery Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Patriots have been the 8th-most run-oriented team in the league (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 39.7% run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects Ty Montgomery to total 1.1 carries in this game, on average, placing him in the 100th percentile among WRs and TEs.
  • The New England Patriots O-line grades out as the 7th-best in the league since the start of last season at opening holes for runners.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Patriots are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to run the least total plays among all teams this week with 58.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The New England Patriots have called the 9th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a mere 60.7 plays per game.
  • The Miami Dolphins defensive ends grade out as the 5th-best unit in the league since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.
  • The New England Patriots have been faced with a stacked the box on 27.7% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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