Ty Johnson Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Ty Johnson

NFL · Player Props

Ty Johnson

RB · Buffalo Bills

Touchdowns

Las Vegas Raiders vs Buffalo Bills · Week 6, 2026

Updated Oct 18, 2026 4:22 PM EST

Analysis

Ty Johnson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+525/-567).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Ty Johnson's receiving reliability have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 80.1% to 100.0%.
With an outstanding rate of 0.09 per game through the air (80th percentile), Ty Johnson stands among the top receiving touchdown-scorers in the NFL among running backs since the start of last season.
The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has been torched for the 9th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (85.5%) versus RBs since the start of last season (85.5%).

Favors Under

A rushing game script is indicated by the Bills being a 5-point favorite in this week's contest.
The projections expect the Bills as the 6th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 55.0% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Right now, the 7th-most run-focused offense in football in the red zone (46.7% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Buffalo Bills.
At the present time, the 8th-most sluggish paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Bills.
Ty Johnson has notched a puny -2.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: a lowly 20th percentile when it comes to RBs.

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