Ty Johnson Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 6

My Account Log Out

reorder

Ty Johnson

NFL · Player Props

Ty Johnson

RB · Buffalo Bills

Receptions

Las Vegas Raiders vs Buffalo Bills · Week 6, 2026

Updated Oct 18, 2026 4:27 PM EST

Analysis

Ty Johnson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+155/-200).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +155 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
In this game, Ty Johnson is expected by the model to slot into the 83rd percentile among RBs with 3.5 targets.
Ty Johnson's receiving reliability have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 80.1% to 100.0%.
The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has been torched for the 9th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (85.5%) versus RBs since the start of last season (85.5%).
When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Las Vegas's collection of LBs has been terrible this year, projecting as the 6th-worst in the league.

Favors Under

A rushing game script is indicated by the Bills being a 5-point favorite in this week's contest.
The projections expect the Bills as the 6th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 55.0% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
At the present time, the 8th-most sluggish paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Bills.
The Bills offensive line ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative influence on all passing offense statistics across the board.

More Ty Johnson Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow