Ty Johnson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Ty Johnson

NFL · Player Props

Ty Johnson

RB · Buffalo Bills

Receiving Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs Buffalo Bills · Week 6, 2026

Updated Oct 18, 2026 4:27 PM EST

Analysis

Ty Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-116/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ 0 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
In this game, Ty Johnson is expected by the model to slot into the 83rd percentile among RBs with 3.5 targets.
Ty Johnson profiles as one of the top RBs in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging an exceptional 16.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 85th percentile.
Ty Johnson's receiving reliability have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 80.1% to 100.0%.
Ty Johnson's 11.5 adjusted yards per target this season marks a noteworthy improvement in his pass-catching skills over last season's 8.1 rate.

Favors Under

A rushing game script is indicated by the Bills being a 5-point favorite in this week's contest.
The projections expect the Bills as the 6th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 55.0% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
At the present time, the 8th-most sluggish paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Bills.
Ty Johnson has notched a puny -2.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: a lowly 20th percentile when it comes to RBs.
The Bills offensive line ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative influence on all passing offense statistics across the board.

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