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T.Y. Hilton

T.Y. Hilton Receptions
Player Prop Week 20

San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys

T.Y. Hilton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+145/-190).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -180 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -190.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cowboys are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 137.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Dallas Cowboys have called the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 59.8 plays per game.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.

T.Y. Hilton's sure-handedness have gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% increasing from 57.6% to 70.5%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 3rd-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 57.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The weatherman calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

T.Y. Hilton has run fewer routes this year (28.5% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (69.4%).

The San Francisco 49ers linebackers rank as the 3rd-best LB corps in football this year in covering receivers.

The Dallas Cowboys have gone up against a stacked the box on a measly 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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